Odds ratios have a unique part to play in describing the effects of logistic regression models. But that doesn’t mean they’re easy to communicate to an audience who is likely to misinterpret them. So writing up your odds ratios has to be done with care. (more…)
Updated 11/22/2021
Probability and odds measure the same thing: the likelihood or propensity or possibility of a specific outcome.
People use the terms odds and probability interchangeably in casual usage, but that is unfortunate. It just creates confusion because they are not equivalent.
They measure the same thing on different scales. Imagine how confusing it would be if people used degrees Celsius and degrees Fahrenheit interchangeably. “It’s going to be 35 degrees today” could really make you dress the wrong way.
In measuring the likelihood of any outcome, we need to know (more…)
What are goodness of fit statistics? Is the definition the same for all types of statistical model? Do we run the same tests for all types of statistic model?
Interpreting the results of logistic regression can be tricky, even for people who are familiar with performing different kinds of statistical analyses. How do we then share these results with non-researchers in a way that makes sense?
Odds is confusing in a different way than some of the other terms in this series.
First, it’s a bit of an abstract concept, which I’ll explain below.
But beyond that, it’s confusing because it is used in everyday English as a synonym for probability, but it’s actually a distinct technical term.
I found this incorrect definition recently in a (non-statistics) book: (more…)
A great tool to have in your statistical tool belt is logistic regression.
It comes in many varieties and many of us are familiar with the variety for binary outcomes.
But multinomial and ordinal varieties of logistic regression are also incredibly useful and worth knowing.
They can be tricky to decide between in practice, however. In some — but not all — situations you (more…)