Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models

The Importance of Including an Exposure Variable in Count Models

November 19th, 2020 by

When our outcome variable is the frequency of occurrence of an event, we will typically use a count model to analyze the results. There are numerous count models. A few examples are: Poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated Poisson and truncated negative binomial.

There are specific requirements for which count model to use. The models are not interchangeable. But regardless of the model we use, there is a very important prerequisite that they all share.

(more…)


Count Models: Understanding the Log Link Function

November 12th, 2020 by

When we run a statistical model, we are in a sense creating a mathematical equation. The simplest regression model looks like this:

Yi = β0 + β1X+ εi

The left side of the equation is the sum of two parts on the right: the fixed component, β0 + β1X, and the random component, εi.

You’ll also sometimes see the equation written (more…)


Count vs. Continuous Variables: Differences Under the Hood

October 15th, 2018 by

by Jeff Meyer, MBA, MPA

One of the most important concepts in data analysis is that the analysis needs to be appropriate for the scale of measurement of the variable. The focus of these decisions about scale tends to focus on levels of measurement: nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio.

These levels of measurement tell you about the amount of information in the variable. But there are other ways of distinguishing the scales that are also important and often overlooked.

(more…)


What is the Purpose of a Generalized Linear Mixed Model?

September 10th, 2018 by

If you are new to using generalized linear mixed effects models, or if you have heard of them but never used them, you might be wondering about the purpose of a GLMM.

Mixed effects models are useful when we have data with more than one source of random variability. For example, an outcome may be measured more than once on the same person (repeated measures taken over time).

When we do that we have to account for both within-person and across-person variability. A single measure of residual variance can’t account for both.

(more…)


When to Use Logistic Regression for Percentages and Counts

April 30th, 2018 by

One important yet difficult skill in statistics is choosing a type model for different data situations. One key consideration is the dependent variable.

For linear models, the dependent variable doesn’t have to be normally distributed, but it does have to be continuous, unbounded, and measured on an interval or ratio scale.

Percentages don’t fit these criteria. Yes, they’re continuous and ratio scale. The issue is the (more…)


Poisson or Negative Binomial? Using Count Model Diagnostics to Select a Model

March 19th, 2018 by

How do you choose between Poisson and negative binomial models for discrete count outcomes?

One key criterion is the relative value of the variance to the mean after accounting for the effect of the predictors. A previous article discussed the concept of a variance that is larger than the model assumes: overdispersion.

(Underdispersion is also possible, but much less common).

There are two ways to check for overdispersion: (more…)